Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Iowa
3rd District

Des Moines and southwestern Iowa

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Tilt R

2024 Baseline

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D +0.9
D: 49.5%, R: 48.6%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
13
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Iowa 3: Will a Wave Crash on Nunn?

April 9, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Alabama – Iowa

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Senate Report Shorts (Aug. 28, 2025)

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (June 20, 2025)

June 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
June 12, 2026
Tilt Republican
December 5, 2025
Lean Republican
March 7, 2025
Lean Republican
2024
October 31, 2024
Tilt Republican
September 26, 2024
Toss-up
December 1, 2023
Tilt Republican
March 10, 2023
Tilt Republican
2022
November 3, 2022
Tilt Republican
December 3, 2021
Toss-up
November 11, 2021
Toss-up
2020
October 16, 2020
Lean Democrat
August 7, 2020
Tilt Democrat
December 6, 2019
Toss-up
February 15, 2019
Toss-up
2018
September 14, 2018
Toss-up
August 17, 2018
Tilt Republican
December 1, 2017
Likely Republican
February 27, 2017
Likely Republican
2016
September 30, 2016
Tilt Republican
December 4, 2015
Toss-up
April 3, 2015
Toss-up
2014
January 6, 2014
Toss-up
December 17, 2013
Toss-up
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
2012
June 29, 2012
Tilt Republican
December 2, 2011
Toss-up
May 12, 2011
Toss-up
2010
October 22, 2010
Likely Democrat
August 23, 2010
Lean Democrat