Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Iowa
2nd District

Northeastern Iowa

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Likely R

2024 Baseline

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R +4.7
D: 46.7%, R: 51.4%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
13
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Iowa 3: Will a Wave Crash on Nunn?

April 9, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Alabama – Iowa

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Senate Report Shorts (Aug. 28, 2025)

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (June 20, 2025)

June 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Likely Republican
September 25, 2025
Likely Republican
March 7, 2025
Likely Republican
2024
March 28, 2024
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Likely Republican
March 10, 2023
Likely Republican
2022
October 21, 2022
Tilt Republican
August 25, 2022
Lean Republican
December 3, 2021
Likely Republican
November 11, 2021
Likely Republican
2020
October 28, 2020
Lean Democrat
December 6, 2019
Tilt Democrat
November 26, 2019
Tilt Democrat
April 13, 2019
Toss-up
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
September 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Likely Democrat
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
2014
October 10, 2014
Lean Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
July 13, 2012
Likely Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
May 12, 2011
Solid Democrat
2010
October 22, 2010
Likely Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat