Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Florida
27th District

Miami and southern suburbs

District Map

District map
Current (2026) Previous (2022)

Current Rating

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Likely R

2024 Baseline

What's This?
R +7.2
D: 46.1%, R: 53.3%
May 4, 2026
On May 4, 2026, Florida passed a new congressional map designed to help Republicans pick up as many as four additional seats in the fall.
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2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
24
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
18
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Florida House: Redistricting Boosts GOP prospects

May 5, 2026
by Bradley Wascher & Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

April 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (April 9, 2026)

April 9, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Alabama – Iowa

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Oct. 23, 2025)

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
May 8, 2026
Likely Republican
March 12, 2026
Likely Republican
December 5, 2025
Solid Republican
March 7, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
December 1, 2023
Likely Republican
March 10, 2023
Likely Republican
2022
May 20, 2022
Likely Republican
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
December 1, 2017
Lean Democrat
May 1, 2017
Lean Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
February 10, 2012