Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Florida
14th District

South Tampa and eastern suburbs

District Map

District map
Current (2026) Previous (2022)

Current Rating

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Tilt D

Baseline

What's This?
R +10.9
D: 44.1%, R: 55%
May 4, 2026
On May 4, 2026, Florida passed a new congressional map designed to help Republicans pick up as many as four additional seats in the fall.
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2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Campaign Finance Data

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Polls

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Emerson College for Poll Vault

48% D K. Castor
43% R M. Beltran
Source: Emerson College Oct 12 – Oct 14, 2026

Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
24
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
18
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Report Shorts (Oct. 29, 2026)

October 29, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Oct. 1, 2026)

October 1, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Sept. 17, 2026)

September 17, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Sept. 3, 2026)

September 3, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Florida Primary Results: Better Late Than Never

August 18, 2026
by Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (August 6, 2026)

August 6, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

House Report Shorts (July 23, 2026)

July 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nathan L. Gonzales

Florida 14: Calling All Castors

July 9, 2026
by Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (July 9, 2026)

July 9, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Ratings

2026
October 29, 2026
Tilt Democrat
September 17, 2026
Toss-up
September 3, 2026
Tilt Republican
May 8, 2026
Lean Republican
December 5, 2025
Solid Democrat
March 7, 2025
Solid Democrat
2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Democrat
March 10, 2023
Solid Democrat
2022
May 20, 2022
Solid Democrat
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
February 10, 2012
Solid Democrat
2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican