Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

California
27th District

Santa Clarita, Lancaster, and Palmdale in northern Los Angeles County

District Map

District map
Current (2026) Previous (2022)

Current Rating

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Solid D

2024 Baseline

What's This?
D +11.5
D: 55.6%, R: 44.1%
November 4, 2025
California voters approved a new congressional map for the 2026, 2028, and 2030 cycles that was drawn to help Democrats flip an additional 3 to 5 seats.
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2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
6
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Primary Results in Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma

June 17, 2026
by Nicholas Demba, Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

California Primary Results: Counting Continues But Clarity in Sight

June 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

April 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Alabama – Iowa

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

California House: Voters Enact New Map That Benefits Democrats

November 6, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Solid Democrat
November 6, 2025
Solid Democrat
March 7, 2025
Lean Democrat
2024
December 1, 2023
Toss-up
March 10, 2023
Toss-up
2022
October 7, 2022
Tilt Republican
January 10, 2022
Toss-up
December 28, 2021
Toss-up
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
August 26, 2011
Solid Democrat
2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat