Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Arizona
9th District

Western Arizona and western Phoenix exurbs

District Map

District map

Current Rating

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Solid R

2024 Baseline

What's This?
R +26.7
D: 36.3%, R: 63%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
6
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUL
21
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Alabama – Iowa

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Arizona 6: Send the Marine

October 9, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Arizona 1: Open Seat Shifts to Toss-up

October 2, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (Sept. 25, 2025)

September 25, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Alaska – Iowa

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Arizona 7 Special: The Tussle in Tucson

May 15, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Solid Republican
March 7, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
March 10, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
December 30, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
September 29, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
2014
December 17, 2013
Likely Democrat
March 8, 2013
Likely Democrat
2012
October 26, 2012
Tilt Democrat
August 29, 2012
Lean Democrat
July 13, 2012
Likely Democrat
January 13, 2012
Solid Democrat