Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Arkansas
2nd District

Greater Little Rock

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Current Rating

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Solid R

Baseline

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R +19.0
D: 39.4%, R: 58.4%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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NOV
11
2025
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAR
3
2026
Primary Election Day
MAR
31
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
December 5, 2025
Solid Republican
March 7, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
March 10, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
February 18, 2022
Solid Republican
2020
October 28, 2020
Toss-up
October 16, 2020
Tilt Republican
September 18, 2020
Lean Republican
August 7, 2020
Likely Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
May 16, 2018
Likely Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
October 17, 2014
Tilt Republican
December 17, 2013
Lean Republican
October 21, 2013
Lean Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
March 23, 2012
Solid Republican
January 13, 2012
Likely Republican
December 2, 2011
Lean Republican
October 7, 2011
Lean Republican
June 21, 2011
Likely Republican
May 12, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
Likely Republican