Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Alabama
2nd District

Montgomery and the Wiregrass

District Map

District map
Current (2026) Previous (2024)

Current Rating

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Likely R

Baseline

What's This?
R +11.1
D: 44.2%, R: 55.3%
May 8, 2026
Alabama will use a new map for the 2026 election drawn to result in a net gain of one seat for Republicans.
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2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Campaign Finance Data

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Polls

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Impact Research (D) for DCCC

45% R R. Marques
44% D S. Figures
Source: National Journal Jun 22 – Jun 25, 2026

Past Elections

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Calendar

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JAN
23
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
JUN
16
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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House Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Primary Results in Alabama, Connecticut, Minnesota, South Carolina, Vermont and Wisconsin

August 12, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (July 23, 2026)

July 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nathan L. Gonzales

House Report Shorts (July 9, 2026)

July 9, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

Primary Results in Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma

June 17, 2026
by Nicholas Demba, Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Alabama Redistricting: Republicans Likely to Net a Seat

June 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Oregon Primary Results

May 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Alabama – Iowa

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Alabama – Iowa

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
June 4, 2026
Likely Republican
December 5, 2025
Solid Democrat
March 7, 2025
Solid Democrat
2024
December 1, 2023
Likely Democrat
November 13, 2023
Likely Democrat
October 20, 2023
Likely Democrat
March 10, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
December 3, 2021
Solid Republican
November 22, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
August 16, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
October 29, 2010
Tilt Republican
August 23, 2010
Toss-up