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Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Governor
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WA
/
2026
2024
2022
Washington
Governor
State Map
Current Rating
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Not Up This Cycle
2025 Baseline
What's This?
D +14.5
D: 57.1%, R: 42.6%
Incumbent
D
Bob Ferguson
VAR
-1.3
Past Elections
WA:
2024
Past Elections
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Podcasts
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Podcast Episode 62: Holiday Mailbag with Nathan & Jacob
December 22, 2025
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Calendar
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MAY
8
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
4
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day
Analysis
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2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): New York – Wyoming
August 28, 2025
by
Jacob Rubashkin
Ratings
2026
February 6, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
2024
September 1, 2023
Likely Democrat
July 14, 2023
Battleground Democrat
May 5, 2023
Solid Democrat
January 20, 2023
Solid Democrat
2022
December 3, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
February 19, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
February 1, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
April 21, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
January 23, 2015
Solid Democrat
2014
January 1, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
September 28, 2012
Tilt Democrat
March 9, 2012
Toss-up
December 2, 2011
Tilt Democrat
November 4, 2011
Tilt Democrat
August 12, 2011
Lean Democrat
April 1, 2011
Likely Democrat
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
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Baselines
About
2025
+14.5
D 57.1
,
R 42.6
2024
+14.5
2022
+11.9
2020
+11.4
2018
+10.6
2016
+10.0
2014
+9.8