Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Virginia
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +6.8
D: 53.1%, R: 46.3%

Incumbent

Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
APR
21
2026
Redistricting Referendum
AUG
4
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

New Jersey and Virginia: Key Counties to Watch

November 4, 2025
by Bradley Wascher

Report Shorts (Sept. 25, 2025)

September 25, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): New York – Wyoming

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (June 20, 2025)

June 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia Governor: Historic No Matter What

January 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 2, 2026
Not Up This Cycle
August 28, 2025
Lean Democrat
February 6, 2025
Tilt Democrat
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
December 3, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
November 5, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
November 1, 2021
Toss-up
October 22, 2021
Tilt Democrat
September 29, 2021
Lean Democrat
February 19, 2021
Likely Democrat
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
November 10, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
October 27, 2017
Tilt Democrat
April 21, 2017
Lean Democrat
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
November 6, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
September 9, 2013
Lean Democrat
January 1, 2013
Toss-up
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+6.8D 53.1, R 46.3
2024
+5.0
2022
+5.5
2020
+8.1
2018
+5.1
2016
+3.1
2014
+0.0