Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Oregon
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Lean D

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +11.7
D: 53.8%, R: 42.1%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidate

Campaign Finance Data

CANDIDATE RAISED SPENT CASH-ON-HAND
D Tina Kotek Incumbent $2,019,158 $837,222 $3,618,686
R Christine Drazan Nominee $2,453,534 $2,868,827 $565,150

Totals as of July 3, 2026 — Source: Inside Elections

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
10
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): New York – Wyoming

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
June 25, 2026
Lean Democrat
February 6, 2025
Solid Democrat
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
October 7, 2022
Toss-up
September 9, 2022
Tilt Democrat
July 15, 2022
Lean Democrat
March 4, 2022
Likely Democrat
December 3, 2021
Solid Democrat
February 19, 2021
Solid Democrat
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
November 1, 2018
Tilt Democrat
August 31, 2018
Lean Democrat
October 27, 2017
Likely Democrat
April 21, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
February 20, 2015
Solid Democrat
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
February 22, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 22, 2010
Toss-up
September 17, 2010
Tilt Republican
July 2, 2010
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+11.7D 53.8, R 42.1
2024
+11.7
2022
+11.0
2020
+11.7
2018
+12.2
2016
+11.2
2014
+11.1