Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Oklahoma
Governor

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Current Rating

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Solid R

Baseline

What's This?
R +28.3
D: 34.2%, R: 62.5%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
3
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
16
2026
Primary Election Day
AUG
25
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Governor Report Shorts (Sept. 3, 2026)

September 3, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Runoff Results in Georgia, Oklahoma and South Carolina

August 26, 2026
by Inshara Ali

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Primary Results in Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma

June 17, 2026
by Nicholas Demba, Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Report Shorts (March 26, 2026)

March 26, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): New York – Wyoming

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 20, 2025)

February 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
February 6, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
October 7, 2022
Likely Republican
December 3, 2021
Solid Republican
February 19, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
August 31, 2018
Lean Republican
April 21, 2017
Likely Republican
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
February 22, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Solid Republican

Baselines

About
2025+28.3D 34.2, R 62.5
2024
+28.3
2022
+28.9
2020
+28.8
2018
+28.5
2016
+28.7
2014
+25.5