Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Ohio
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

See All
Tilt D

Baseline

What's This?
R +10.0
D: 44.4%, R: 54.4%

2026 Election

Incumbent

  • Headshot for Mike DeWine
    R

    Mike DeWine

    VAR 7.6
    Open

    • Past Elections

    OH: 2004, 2002, 2000, 1998, 1996, 1994
    OH-07: 1988, 1986, 1984, 1982
    OH Governor: 2022

Candidates

Campaign Finance Data

CANDIDATE RAISED SPENT CASH-ON-HAND
R Vivek Ramaswamy Nominee $25,555,956 $19,695,657 $30,742,722
D Amy Acton Nominee $10,552,470 $5,531,668 $5,001,666
R Mike DeWine Incumbent -- -- --
L Don Kissick -- -- --

Totals as of October 30, 2026 — Source: Inside Elections

Polls

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Suffolk Univ. for USA TODAY

48% D A. Acton
44% R V. Ramaswamy
4% I D. Kissick
Source: Suffolk University Oct 21 – Oct 26, 2026

Echelon Insights (R) for NetChoice

47% R V. Ramaswamy
45% D A. Acton
4% I D. Kissick
Source: Echelon Insights Oct 16 – Oct 23, 2026

Beacon (D)/Shaw (R) for Fox News

50% D A. Acton
48% R V. Ramaswamy
Source: Beacon Research (D)/Shaw (R) Oct 15 – Oct 19, 2026

Marist University

50% D A. Acton
43% R V. Ramaswamy
Source: Marist University Oct 15 – Oct 18, 2026

New River Strategies (D)/GS Strategy Group (R) for The Cook Political Report

49% D A. Acton
44% R V. Ramaswamy
6% I D. Kissick
Source: New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group Oct 9 – Oct 13, 2026

Suffolk University for USA Today

50% D A. Acton
41% R V. Ramaswamy
3% I D. Kissick
Source: Suffolk University Sep 23 – Sep 27, 2026

Marist Univ.

50% D A. Acton
44% R V. Ramaswamy
Source: Marist University Sep 24 – Sep 27, 2026

Past Elections

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Calendar

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FEB
4
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
5
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Oct. 29, 2026)

October 29, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

The Issues Fueling the Most Expensive Ad War in Midterm History

October 26, 2026
by Inshara Ali

Where White Women Could Swing in November

October 15, 2026
by Bradley Wascher

Governor Report Shorts (Oct. 1, 2026)

October 1, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

The States Most Likely to Split Tickets in 2026

September 24, 2026
by Bradley Wascher

Governor Report Shorts (Sept. 3, 2026)

September 3, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Governor Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Report Shorts (March 26, 2026)

March 26, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales

Ratings

2026
October 29, 2026
Tilt Democrat
October 1, 2026
Toss-up
September 3, 2026
Tilt Republican
June 25, 2026
Lean Republican
February 6, 2025
Likely Republican
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
December 3, 2021
Solid Republican
February 19, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
November 1, 2018
Toss-up
April 21, 2017
Tilt Republican
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
September 24, 2014
Solid Republican
September 12, 2014
Likely Republican
August 1, 2014
Lean Republican
June 28, 2013
Tilt Republican
February 22, 2013
Toss-up
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
September 24, 2010
Tilt Republican
July 2, 2010
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+10.0D 44.4, R 54.4
2024
+10.0
2022
+11.0
2020
+11.5
2018
+9.5
2016
+12.3
2014
+8.3