Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New York
Governor

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Current Rating

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Likely D

Baseline

What's This?
D +18.7
D: 58.5%, R: 39.8%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
23
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results

June 24, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Governor Report Shorts (Jan. 8, 2026)

January 8, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): New York – Wyoming

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (April 17, 2025)

April 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (March 20, 2025)

March 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 20, 2025)

February 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
August 28, 2025
Likely Democrat
February 6, 2025
Battleground Democrat
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
November 3, 2022
Likely Democrat
December 3, 2021
Solid Democrat
August 16, 2021
Solid Democrat
February 19, 2021
Solid Democrat
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
April 21, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
February 22, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Solid Democrat

Baselines

About
2025+18.7D 58.5, R 39.8
2024
+18.7
2022
+22.5
2020
+25.7
2018
+28.1
2016
+24.9
2014
+23.4