Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New Mexico
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

See All
Likely D

Baseline

What's This?
D +11.0
D: 54.6%, R: 43.6%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

Campaign Finance Data

CANDIDATE RAISED SPENT CASH-ON-HAND
D Deb Haaland Nominee $13,910,580 $11,511,643 $2,278,842
R Gregg Hull Nominee $987,856 $647,302 $297,838
D Michelle Lujan Grisham Incumbent -- -- --

Totals as of August 17, 2026 — Source: Inside Elections

Past Elections

Subscribe

To view past election results you'll need to have access to an active subscription.

Sign UpLogin

Share

Twitter (X) Facebook Email

Calendar

See All
FEB
3
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

Governor Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Governor Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Iowa – New Mexico

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
August 28, 2025
Likely Democrat
February 6, 2025
Battleground Democrat
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
November 3, 2022
Tilt Democrat
July 15, 2022
Lean Democrat
March 4, 2022
Likely Democrat
December 3, 2021
Solid Democrat
February 19, 2021
Solid Democrat
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
April 21, 2017
Lean Democrat
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
October 29, 2014
Solid Republican
February 22, 2013
Likely Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 22, 2010
Lean Republican
September 17, 2010
Tilt Republican
July 2, 2010
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+11.0D 54.6, R 43.6
2024
+11.0
2022
+10.8
2020
+9.8
2018
+10.2
2016
+4.9
2014
+6.0