Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New Jersey
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +11.8
D: 55%, R: 43.2%

Incumbent

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
23
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

New Jersey and Virginia: Key Counties to Watch

November 4, 2025
by Bradley Wascher

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Iowa – New Mexico

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

New Jersey Governor: Sherrill and Ciattarelli Were Born to Run

June 12, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

New Jersey Governor: Garden State Gaggle

April 3, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 2, 2026
Not Up This Cycle
February 6, 2025
Lean Democrat
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
December 3, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
November 5, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
February 19, 2021
Solid Democrat
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
November 10, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
April 21, 2017
Likely Democrat
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
November 6, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
September 27, 2013
Solid Republican
February 22, 2013
Likely Republican
January 1, 2013
Lean Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+11.8D 55.0, R 43.2
2024
+11.3
2022
+13.1
2020
+13.6
2018
+12.2
2016
+9.5
2014
+9.7