Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Montana
Governor

State Map

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Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +15.5
D: 41.1%, R: 56.6%

Incumbent

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
9
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
February 6, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 20, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
December 3, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
February 19, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
February 1, 2019
Toss-up
2018
April 21, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
August 21, 2015
Lean Democrat
January 23, 2015
Likely Democrat
2014
January 1, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
December 2, 2011
Toss-up
April 1, 2011
Toss-up
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+15.5D 41.1, R 56.6
2024
+15.5
2022
+11.7
2020
+11.9
2018
+6.6
2016
+8.7
2014
+1.3