Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Missouri
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +17.8
D: 39.8%, R: 57.6%
September 29, 2025
On Sept. 29, 2025, Missouri redrew its congressional map to elect an additional Republican to the House this fall.
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Incumbent

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
31
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
4
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 16, 2020): Missouri Governor

October 16, 2020
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings Shift in Six Races for Governor

October 14, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Don’t Fall Asleep on Races for Governor

August 5, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2026
February 6, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 20, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
December 3, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
February 19, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
October 16, 2020
Lean Republican
April 23, 2020
Likely Republican
February 1, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
June 1, 2018
Not Up This Cycle
April 21, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
November 3, 2016
Toss-up
October 14, 2016
Tilt Democrat
January 23, 2015
Toss-up
2014
January 1, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
November 2, 2012
Likely Democrat
December 2, 2011
Lean Democrat
April 1, 2011
Lean Democrat
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+17.8D 39.8, R 57.6
2024
+17.8
2022
+15.6
2020
+15.6
2018
+6.5
2016
+7.2
2014
+2.0