Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Louisiana
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +21.0
D: 33%, R: 54%
Louisiana passed a new congressional map in June 2026 that dismantles the majority-Black 6th District to elect an additional Republican.
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Incumbent

Landry

Past Elections

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Calendar

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JAN
14
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
16
2026
Primary Election Day
JUN
27
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Louisiana Governor: Jeff Landry Flips Seat for Republicans

October 17, 2023
by Erin Covey

Louisiana Governor: Democrats Losing Their Grip

September 1, 2023
by Erin Covey

Louisiana Governor: Key Takeaways from the Primary Election

October 14, 2019
by Ryan Matsumoto

Louisiana Governor: Republicans Pushing for Overtime

September 27, 2019
by Nathan Gonzales

Fewer Members Taking the Leap to Governor

March 1, 2019
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2026
February 6, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
2024
November 13, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
September 1, 2023
Likely Republican
January 20, 2023
Lean Republican
2022
December 3, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
February 19, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
November 26, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
February 1, 2019
Toss-up
2018
April 21, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
May 19, 2016
Not Up This Cycle
November 6, 2015
Toss-up
October 27, 2015
Lean Republican
October 1, 2015
Likely Republican
January 23, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
January 1, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
November 4, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
July 2, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+21.0D 33.0, R 54.0
2024
+21.0
2022
+21.3
2020
+18.2
2018
+15.9
2016
+19.1
2014
+19.2