Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Kentucky
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +18.7
D: 40.1%, R: 58.8%

Incumbent

Past Elections

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Calendar

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JAN
9
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Report Shorts (June 20, 2025)

June 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Coverage

Daniel Cameron looks to faith as GOP Senate race comes to a close on Election Day

May 26, 2026
Lexington Herald-Leader

Ratings

2026
February 6, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
2024
November 13, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
September 1, 2023
Tilt Democrat
January 20, 2023
Toss-up
2022
December 3, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
February 19, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
November 8, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
July 19, 2019
Toss-up
February 1, 2019
Lean Republican
2018
April 21, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
November 6, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
October 16, 2015
Tilt Democrat
July 30, 2015
Toss-up
January 23, 2015
Tilt Democrat
2014
January 1, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
November 18, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
November 4, 2011
Likely Democrat
August 12, 2011
Lean Democrat
April 1, 2011
Tilt Democrat
January 3, 2011
Tilt Democrat
2010
July 2, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+18.7D 40.1, R 58.8
2024
+18.7
2022
+19.9
2020
+15.6
2018
+15.7
2016
+9.6
2014
+8.7