Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Indiana
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +17.3
D: 40.1%, R: 57.4%

Incumbent

Past Elections

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Calendar

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FEB
6
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
5
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Ratings Shift in Six Races for Governor

October 14, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Don’t Fall Asleep on Races for Governor

August 5, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Indiana Governor: How Vulnerable is Mike Pence?

February 5, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2026
February 6, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
2024
September 26, 2024
Likely Republican
January 20, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
December 3, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
February 19, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
April 23, 2020
Solid Republican
February 1, 2019
Likely Republican
2018
April 21, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
October 14, 2016
Tilt Republican
August 5, 2016
Lean Republican
August 21, 2015
Lean Republican
January 23, 2015
Likely Republican
2014
January 1, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
September 28, 2012
Likely Republican
December 2, 2011
Lean Republican
April 1, 2011
Lean Republican
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+17.3D 40.1, R 57.4
2024
+17.3
2022
+16.0
2020
+16.0
2018
+12.4
2016
+14.2
2014
+11.3