Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Illinois
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Solid D

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +15.5
D: 56.3%, R: 40.8%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidate

Campaign Finance Data

CANDIDATE RAISED SPENT CASH-ON-HAND
D J.B. Pritzker Incumbent $25,600,278 $15,556,396 $14,193,724
R Darren Bailey Nominee $841,216 $696,656 $81,840

Totals as of July 2, 2026 — Source: Inside Elections

Past Elections

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Calendar

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NOV
3
2025
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAR
17
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Alabama – Illinois

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
February 6, 2025
Solid Democrat
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
December 3, 2021
Solid Democrat
February 19, 2021
Solid Democrat
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
October 12, 2018
Likely Democrat
March 21, 2018
Lean Democrat
April 21, 2017
Tilt Democrat
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
October 17, 2014
Toss-up
August 1, 2014
Tilt Republican
February 28, 2014
Toss-up
August 23, 2013
Lean Democrat
February 22, 2013
Likely Democrat
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 29, 2010
Tilt Republican
August 27, 2010
Lean Republican
July 2, 2010
Tilt Republican

Baselines

About
2025+15.5D 56.3, R 40.8
2024
+15.5
2022
+15.6
2020
+14.3
2018
+13.9
2016
+9.4
2014
+11.6