Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Iowa
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Toss-up

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +7.1
D: 45.7%, R: 52.8%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Campaign Finance Data

CANDIDATE RAISED SPENT CASH-ON-HAND
D Rob Sand Nominee $9,572,747 $3,852,619 $18,291,789
R Kim Reynolds Incumbent -- -- --
L Nicholas Gluba -- -- --
R Zach Lahn Nominee -- -- --
R Randy Feenstra -- -- --

Totals as of July 2, 2026 — Source: Inside Elections

Polls

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Cygnal (R)

48% D R. Sand
43% R Z. Lahn
Source: Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation Jun 16 – Jun 19, 2026

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
13
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Governor Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Senate & Governor Report Shorts (Sept. 11, 2025)

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Iowa – New Mexico

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (June 20, 2025)

June 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Senate & Governor Report Shorts (June 5, 2025)

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
June 25, 2026
Toss-up
June 4, 2026
Tilt Republican
August 28, 2025
Likely Republican
April 17, 2025
Battleground Republican
February 6, 2025
Battleground Republican
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
December 3, 2021
Solid Republican
February 19, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
November 1, 2018
Tilt Democrat
September 28, 2018
Toss-up
August 31, 2018
Tilt Republican
August 24, 2017
Lean Republican
April 21, 2017
Lean Republican
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
October 29, 2014
Solid Republican
June 28, 2013
Likely Republican
February 22, 2013
Lean Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Likely Republican

Baselines

About
2025+7.1D 45.7, R 52.8
2024
+7.1
2022
+7.4
2020
+5.7
2018
+4.3
2016
+8.0
2014
+4.3