Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Hawaii
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Solid D

Baseline

What's This?
D +35.6
D: 66.8%, R: 31.2%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

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Campaign Finance Data

CANDIDATE RAISED SPENT CASH-ON-HAND
D Josh Green Nominee & Incumbent $3,562,280 $2,031,288 $1,924,056
R Gary Cordery Nominee $339,057 $318,633 $23,489
D George Lucas-Tadeo -- -- --

Totals as of August 17, 2026 — Source: Inside Elections

Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
8
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Governor Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Alabama – Illinois

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
February 6, 2025
Solid Democrat
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
December 3, 2021
Solid Democrat
February 19, 2021
Solid Democrat
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
April 21, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
August 15, 2014
Lean Democrat
August 1, 2014
Lean Democrat
May 9, 2014
Likely Democrat
February 22, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 15, 2010
Tilt Democrat
July 2, 2010
Lean Democrat

Baselines

About
2025+35.6D 66.8, R 31.2
2024
+35.6
2022
+39.8
2020
+38.8
2018
+38.5
2016
+36.2
2014
+36.0