Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Arkansas
Governor

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Solid R

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +31.5
D: 33.2%, R: 64.7%

2026 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

Campaign Finance Data

CANDIDATE RAISED SPENT CASH-ON-HAND
R Sarah Huckabee Sanders Incumbent $7,051,612 $4,242,139 $5,407,176
L Colt Shelby $12,266 $1,119 $14,147
D Fred Love Nominee $126,659 $128,536 $-1,877

Totals as of July 2, 2026 — Source: Inside Elections

Past Elections

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Calendar

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NOV
11
2025
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAR
3
2026
Primary Election Day
MAR
31
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Alabama – Illinois

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
February 6, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
December 3, 2021
Solid Republican
February 19, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
April 21, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
November 3, 2014
Lean Republican
February 22, 2013
Tilt Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Solid Democrat

Baselines

About
2025+31.5D 33.2, R 64.7
2024
+31.5
2022
+30.6
2020
+23.0
2018
+22.8
2016
+15.8
2014
+14.8