Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Alaska
Governor

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Current Rating

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Lean R

Baseline

What's This?
R +9.4
D: 43.3%, R: 52.7%

2026 Election

Incumbent

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
1
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
18
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Governor Report Shorts (Sept. 3, 2026)

September 3, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Governor Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Report Shorts (Jan. 8, 2026)

January 8, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Alabama – Illinois

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
September 3, 2026
Lean Republican
June 25, 2026
Likely Republican
February 6, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
January 20, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
July 15, 2022
Likely Republican
December 3, 2021
Solid Republican
February 19, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
February 1, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
April 6, 2018
Tilt Republican
April 21, 2017
Lean Independent
2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
October 29, 2014
Toss-up
October 17, 2014
Tilt Republican
October 3, 2014
Lean Republican
February 22, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Solid Republican

Baselines

About
2025+9.4D 43.3, R 52.7
2024
+9.4
2022
+13.3
2020
+9.9
2018
+12.4
2016
+18.6
2014
+15.7