Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
You are viewing a past election.

Ohio
Senate III

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

Baseline

What's This?
R +10.0
D: 44.4%, R: 54.4%

Incumbent

Vance

Past Elections

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Analysis

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Senate Report Shorts (July 9, 2026)

July 9, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

Ohio Senate: Can Husted Hold On?

March 26, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ohio Senate: Brown Decision Shifts Race Out of Solid

August 12, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
October 7, 2022
Lean Republican
August 25, 2022
Likely Republican
January 25, 2021
Solid Republican
January 8, 2021
Solid Republican
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
September 30, 2016
Likely Republican
September 2, 2016
Lean Republican
March 4, 2016
Tilt Republican
January 9, 2015
Lean Republican
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 8, 2010
Likely Republican
September 17, 2010
Lean Republican
August 24, 2010
Tilt Republican
June 24, 2010
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+10.0D 44.4, R 54.4
2024
+10.0
2022
+11.0
2020
+11.5
2018
+9.5
2016
+12.3
2014
+8.3
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