Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
You are viewing a past election.

California
Senate III

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

Baseline

What's This?
D +22.4
D: 61%, R: 38.6%

Incumbent

Padilla

Past Elections

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Analysis

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California 45: Tran Melts Steel’s Advantage

December 19, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

2024 Senate Results Recap

November 15, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (October 18, 2024)

October 18, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)

October 10, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)

September 26, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
January 8, 2021
Solid Democrat
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
January 9, 2015
Solid Democrat
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 29, 2010
Lean Democrat
October 22, 2010
Tilt Democrat
October 1, 2010
Lean Democrat
July 23, 2010
Tilt Democrat
June 24, 2010
Lean Democrat

Baselines

About
2025+22.4D 61.0, R 38.6
2024
+22.4
2022
+23.1
2020
+21.3
2018
+21.1
2016
+15.5
2014
+15.3
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