Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Maryland
Senate I

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Final Rating

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Likely D

2024 Baseline

What's This?
D +28.4
D: 63.4%, R: 35%

2024 Election

Incumbent

  • Benjamin L Cardin | D | MD (FEC+VAR+BIO)
    D

    Ben Cardin

    VAR 4.8
    Open

    • Past Elections

    MD: 2022, 2020, 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012, 2010, 2008, 2006
    MD-03: 2004, 2002, 2000, 1998, 1996, 1994, 1992, 1990, 1988, 1986

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Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results

June 24, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

April 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2024
February 9, 2024
Likely Democrat
May 5, 2023
Solid Democrat
January 6, 2023
Solid Democrat
2020
January 4, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
January 13, 2017
Solid Democrat
2014
January 25, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
January 28, 2011
Solid Democrat
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+28.4D 63.4, R 35.0
2024
+28.4
2022
+29.6
2020
+24.1
2018
+23.8
2016
+22.4
2014
+22.7
You are viewing a past election. Go to 2026