Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Wisconsin
1st District

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Final Rating

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Likely R

2024 Baseline

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R +2.4
D: 48%, R: 50.4%

2024 Election

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Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (April 9, 2026)

April 9, 2026
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Report Shorts (Sept. 25, 2025)

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2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

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2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

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Wisconsin 3: Drifting Red or Drifting Blue?

May 1, 2025
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Report Shorts (March 20, 2025)

March 20, 2025
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2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 7, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2024
December 1, 2023
Likely Republican
March 10, 2023
Likely Republican
2022
March 15, 2022
Solid Republican
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
April 11, 2018
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
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