Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Ohio
4th District

District Map

District map

Final Rating

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Solid R

2024 Baseline

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R +41.5
D: 28.6%, R: 70.1%

2024 Election

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Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Ohio & Indiana Primaries: Republicans Choose Challengers in Key House Races

May 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

A Detailed Analysis of Ohio’s New Congressional Map

October 31, 2025
by Nathaniel Rakich

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2024
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
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