Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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New York
1st District

Eastern Long Island and north shore of Suffolk County

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Current (2024) Previous (2022)

Final Rating

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Likely R

Baseline

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R +4.4
D: 46.7%, R: 51.1%

2024 Election

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Past Elections

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Analysis

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House Report Shorts (December 5, 2024)

December 5, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (October 18, 2024)

October 18, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)

October 10, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)

September 26, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

New York 19: Riley vs. Molinaro Rematch

June 7, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (April 11, 2024)

April 11, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

2024 House Overview (March 28, 2024): Kansas – New York

March 28, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

New York Redistricting: Big Apple, Small Changes

March 1, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 23, 2024)

February 23, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2024
October 10, 2024
Likely Republican
December 1, 2023
Lean Republican
March 10, 2023
Lean Republican
2022
November 3, 2022
Lean Republican
May 25, 2022
Tilt Republican
May 20, 2022
Lean Republican
February 11, 2022
Lean Democrat
2020
October 16, 2020
Lean Republican
December 6, 2019
Likely Republican
February 15, 2019
Likely Republican
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
November 3, 2016
Lean Republican
December 4, 2015
Tilt Republican
October 1, 2015
Tilt Republican
April 3, 2015
Lean Republican
2014
October 29, 2014
Toss-up
October 3, 2014
Tilt Democrat
December 17, 2013
Lean Democrat
September 27, 2013
Lean Democrat
March 8, 2013
Likely Democrat
2012
November 2, 2012
Tilt Democrat
September 28, 2012
Lean Democrat
July 27, 2012
Tilt Democrat
March 23, 2012
Toss-up
2010
September 24, 2010
Tilt Democrat
August 23, 2010
Lean Democrat
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