Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Minnesota
2nd District

Southern Minneapolis-St. Paul suburbs

District Map

District map

Final Rating

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Likely D

Baseline

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D +6.4
D: 51.4%, R: 45%

2024 Election

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Analysis

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House Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)

October 10, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Presidential: Walz Joins Harris on Democratic Ticket

August 7, 2024
by Nathan L. Gonzales

2024 House Overview (March 28, 2024): Kansas – New York

March 28, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): Kansas – New York

December 15, 2023
by Erin Covey

Report Shorts (Dec. 1, 2023)

December 1, 2023
by Erin Covey

House Report Shorts (Nov. 13, 2023)

November 13, 2023
by Jacob Rubashkin

2024 House Overview (Sept. 15, 2023): Kansas – New York

September 15, 2023
by Jacob Rubashkin

2024 House Overview (June 2, 2023): Kansas-New York

June 2, 2023
by Erin Covey

2024 House Overview (March 10, 2023): Kansas-New York

March 10, 2023
by Erin Covey

Ratings

2024
September 26, 2024
Likely Democrat
December 1, 2023
Lean Democrat
March 10, 2023
Lean Democrat
2022
August 25, 2022
Toss-up
February 18, 2022
Tilt Democrat
2020
February 21, 2020
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Likely Democrat
November 26, 2019
Likely Democrat
February 15, 2019
Lean Democrat
2018
September 28, 2018
Tilt Democrat
December 1, 2017
Toss-up
February 27, 2017
Toss-up
2016
May 19, 2016
Tilt Democrat
December 4, 2015
Toss-up
September 3, 2015
Toss-up
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
April 11, 2014
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Likely Republican
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
2012
February 24, 2012
Solid Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
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