Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
You are viewing a past election.

New Hampshire
Governor

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Toss-up

Baseline

What's This?
D +2.3
D: 50.4%, R: 48.1%

2024 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

Past Elections

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Analysis

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Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)

October 10, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)

September 26, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

2024 Gubernatorial Overview: Toss-up Races Emerge

September 1, 2023
by Erin Covey

Report Shorts (July 28, 2023)

July 28, 2023
by Jacob Rubashkin

2024 Gubernatorial Overview (January 20, 2023): Focus on the Few

January 20, 2023
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2024
September 1, 2023
Toss-up
July 28, 2023
Battleground Republican
January 20, 2023
Battleground Republican
2022
September 23, 2022
Solid Republican
March 4, 2022
Likely Republican
December 3, 2021
Battleground Republican
February 19, 2021
Battleground Republican
2020
September 18, 2020
Likely Republican
February 1, 2019
Lean Republican
2018
April 21, 2017
Lean Republican
2016
October 14, 2016
Toss-up
October 5, 2015
Tilt Democrat
January 23, 2015
Likely Democrat
2014
October 29, 2014
Likely Democrat
October 25, 2013
Solid Democrat
February 22, 2013
Likely Democrat
2012
December 2, 2011
Toss-up
September 23, 2011
Toss-up
April 1, 2011
Solid Democrat
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
September 24, 2010
Lean Democrat
July 2, 2010
Likely Democrat

Baselines

About
2025+2.3D 50.4, R 48.1
2024
+2.3
2022
+2.1
2020
+2.8
2018
+3.3
2016
+2.2
2014
+5.5
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