Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
You are viewing a past election.

North Carolina
Governor

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Likely D

Baseline

What's This?
R +2.3
D: 48.6%, R: 50.9%

2024 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

Past Elections

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Analysis

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Gubernatorial Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)

September 26, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (March 14, 2024)

March 14, 2024
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Sept. 15, 2023)

September 15, 2023
by Erin Covey

2024 Gubernatorial Overview: Toss-up Races Emerge

September 1, 2023
by Erin Covey

Report Shorts (May 5, 2023)

May 5, 2023
by Erin Covey

North Carolina Governor: 2024’s Marquee Matchup

May 2, 2023
by Erin Covey

Report Shorts (April 7, 2023)

April 7, 2023
by Erin Covey

2024 Gubernatorial Overview (January 20, 2023): Focus on the Few

January 20, 2023
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2024
September 26, 2024
Likely Democrat
August 29, 2024
Tilt Democrat
September 1, 2023
Toss-up
January 20, 2023
Battleground Democrat
2022
December 3, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
February 19, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
June 19, 2020
Lean Democrat
February 1, 2019
Tilt Democrat
2018
April 21, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
October 14, 2016
Tilt Democrat
May 19, 2016
Toss-up
January 23, 2015
Tilt Republican
2014
January 1, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
November 2, 2012
Likely Republican
January 27, 2012
Lean Republican
December 2, 2011
Lean Republican
April 1, 2011
Lean Republican
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
July 2, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+2.3D 48.6, R 50.9
2024
+2.3
2022
+3.0
2020
+2.2
2018
+1.2
2016
+2.1
2014
+2.5
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