Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Nevada
Senate III

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Toss-up

2022 Baseline

What's This?
D +1.8
D: 48.6%, R: 46.8%

2022 Election

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Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Primary Results in Maine, Nevada and South Carolina

June 10, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (Dec. 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2022
January 7, 2022
Toss-up
January 8, 2021
Battleground Democrat
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
July 6, 2015
Toss-up
March 27, 2015
Tilt Democrat
January 9, 2015
Lean Democrat
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
August 9, 2010
Toss-up
June 24, 2010
Tilt Republican

Baselines

About
2025+1.5D 48.7, R 47.2
2024
+1.5
2022
+1.8
2020
+2.5
2018
+2.3
2016
+3.1
2014
+2.6
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