Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
You are viewing a past election.

Kansas
Senate II

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

Baseline

What's This?
R +14.8
D: 41.4%, R: 56.2%

Incumbent

Marshall

Past Elections

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Analysis

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Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 3, 2026)

September 3, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Senate Report Shorts (August 6, 2026)

August 6, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

Primary Results in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington

August 5, 2026
by Nicholas Demba & Jacob Rubashkin

Senate Report Shorts (July 23, 2026)

July 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nathan L. Gonzales

Senate Report Shorts (July 9, 2026)

July 9, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
December 15, 2020
Tilt Republican
October 16, 2020
Tilt Republican
January 8, 2020
Lean Republican
January 4, 2019
Solid Republican
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
October 3, 2014
Toss-up
September 4, 2014
Tilt Republican
August 29, 2014
Likely Republican
January 25, 2013
Solid Republican
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+14.0D 41.9, R 55.9
2024
+14.0
2022
+14.8
2020
+18.4
2018
+19.6
2016
+24.8
2014
+23.4
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