Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Virginia
10th District

Southwestern D.C. suburbs and exurbs

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Likely D

Baseline

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2022 Election

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Past Elections

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Analysis

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Where White Women Could Swing in November

October 15, 2026
by Bradley Wascher

Following the Money: Disagreements on the House Battleground

October 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (Oct. 1, 2026)

October 1, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (August 6, 2026)

August 6, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

Primary Results in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington

August 5, 2026
by Nicholas Demba & Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia 2: A Rematch at the Beach

May 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia House: Four House Races Shift To Democrats

April 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2022
October 21, 2022
Likely Democrat
February 8, 2022
Solid Democrat
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
August 17, 2018
Tilt Democrat
December 1, 2017
Toss-up
November 10, 2017
Toss-up
May 19, 2017
Tilt Republican
February 27, 2017
Lean Republican
2016
October 14, 2016
Tilt Republican
December 4, 2015
Lean Republican
April 3, 2015
Lean Republican
2014
January 6, 2014
Lean Republican
December 17, 2013
Lean Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
January 27, 2012
Solid Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
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