Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Texas
22nd District

Southwestern Houston suburbs and exurbs

District Map

District map

Final Rating

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Solid R

Baseline

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2022 Election

Incumbent

  • Headshot for Troy Nehls
    R

    Troy Nehls

    ✓ 150,014 votes (62.2%)
    VAR 3.3

    • Next Election

    Past Elections

    TX-22: 2020

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Past Elections

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Analysis

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2026 House Report Shorts (Oct. 29, 2026)

October 29, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

The Issues Fueling the Most Expensive Ad War in Midterm History

October 26, 2026
by Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Oct. 15, 2026)

October 15, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Following the Money: Disagreements on the House Battleground

October 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (Sept. 17, 2026)

September 17, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Sept. 3, 2026)

September 3, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (July 23, 2026)

July 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nathan L. Gonzales

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Cornyn Loss Headlines Texas Primary Runoff Results

May 26, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2022
December 3, 2021
Solid Republican
November 15, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
July 24, 2020
Toss-up
December 6, 2019
Tilt Republican
August 30, 2019
Tilt Republican
July 26, 2019
Lean Republican
February 15, 2019
Lean Republican
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
September 24, 2010
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