Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Michigan
8th District

Flint and Tri-Cities areas

District Map

District map

Final Rating

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Lean D

Baseline

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2022 Election

Incumbent

  • Headshot for Dan Kildee
    DNominee

    Dan Kildee

    ✓ 178,322 votes (53.1%)
    VAR 0.3

    • Next Election

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    MI-05: 2020, 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012

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Analysis

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House Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (August 6, 2026)

August 6, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba

Primary Results in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington

August 5, 2026
by Nicholas Demba & Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (July 23, 2026)

July 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nathan L. Gonzales

House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

First-Time Candidates Enter the Ring in Key House Race

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales

Report Shorts (Dec. 18, 2025)

December 18, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2022
October 21, 2022
Lean Democrat
January 13, 2022
Tilt Democrat
2020
August 7, 2020
Solid Democrat
February 21, 2020
Likely Democrat
December 6, 2019
Lean Democrat
November 26, 2019
Lean Democrat
February 15, 2019
Tilt Democrat
2018
November 1, 2018
Tilt Democrat
September 28, 2018
Toss-up
August 17, 2018
Tilt Republican
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
September 1, 2017
Lean Republican
May 19, 2017
Likely Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
October 29, 2014
Solid Republican
August 15, 2014
Likely Republican
March 28, 2014
Lean Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
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