Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Maryland
3rd District

Baltimore suburbs in Howard and Anne Arundel counties

District Map

District map

Final Rating

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Solid D

Baseline

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2022 Election

Incumbent

  • Headshot for John Sarbanes
    DNominee

    John Sarbanes

    ✓ 175,514 votes (60.2%)
    VAR 1.6

    • Next Election

    Past Elections

    MD-03: 2020, 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012, 2010, 2008, 2006

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Past Elections

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Analysis

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House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results

June 24, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

April 23, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 5, 2026)

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales

Report Shorts (Jan. 8, 2026)

January 8, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Maryland 6: Trone Polls Primary Matchup Against Incumbent McClain Delaney?

November 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2022
January 21, 2022
Solid Democrat
2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
2014
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
November 4, 2011
Solid Democrat
2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat
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