Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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New York
21st District

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Solid R

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2020 Election

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Analysis

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June 25, 2026
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House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

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2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): Kentucky – New York

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Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

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House Report Shorts (July 24, 2025)

July 24, 2025
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2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): Kentucky – New York

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Ratings

2020
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
October 29, 2014
Solid Republican
October 24, 2014
Likely Republican
September 24, 2014
Lean Republican
September 12, 2014
Tilt Republican
January 14, 2014
Toss-up
December 17, 2013
Likely Democrat
March 8, 2013
Likely Democrat
2012
October 5, 2012
Tilt Democrat
March 23, 2012
Toss-up
2010
August 23, 2010
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