Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Maine
Governor

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2016 Baseline

What's This?
D +7.1
D: 51.2%, R: 44.1%

Incumbent

LePage

Past Elections

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Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Governor Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Primary Results in Maine, Nevada and South Carolina

June 10, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Senate & Governor Report Shorts (Sept. 11, 2025)

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Iowa – New Mexico

August 28, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Members Face Tough Odds in Races for Governor

November 15, 2017
by Nathan Gonzales

Coverage

I’m a Maine Reporter Who Went to High School With Graham Platner. Here’s What Explains His Success.

June 26, 2026
NOTUS

Ratings

2016
January 23, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
October 29, 2014
Toss-up
June 28, 2013
Tilt Democrat
February 22, 2013
Toss-up
2012
December 2, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
January 3, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
September 17, 2010
Tilt Republican
July 2, 2010
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+9.4D 52.4, R 43.0
2024
+9.4
2022
+8.8
2020
+4.3
2018
+7.6
2016
+7.1
2014
+7.3
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