California
Governor

State Map

State map

Final Rating

See All

Not Up This Cycle

Baseline

What's This?

N/A

Incumbent

Brown

Past Elections

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Podcasts

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Analysis

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Primary Results in Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma

June 17, 2026

by Nicholas Demba, Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Governor Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

California Primary Results: Counting Continues But Clarity in Sight

June 5, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026

by Nathan Gonzales

House & Governor Report Shorts (Nov. 20, 2025)

November 20, 2025

by Jacob Rubashkin

2025-2026 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 28, 2025): Alabama – Illinois

August 28, 2025

by Jacob Rubashkin

House & Governor Report Shorts (July 1, 2022)

July 1, 2022

by Jacob Rubashkin

California Governor: Education Continues to be Key Vote Indicator

October 26, 2021

by Ryan Matsumoto

California Governor Recall: Advantage Newsom in Final Stretch

September 14, 2021

by Ryan Matsumoto

Ratings

2012

December 2, 2011

Not Up This Cycle

January 3, 2011

Not Up This Cycle

2010

October 29, 2010

Lean Democrat

October 22, 2010

Tilt Democrat

October 8, 2010

Toss-up

September 17, 2010

Tilt Republican

August 27, 2010

Toss-up

July 2, 2010

Tilt Democrat

Baselines

2025+22.4D 61.0, R 38.6

2024

+22.4

2022

+23.1

2020

+21.3

2018

+21.1

2016

+15.5

2014

+15.3