Category Archive: Roll Call

Chuck Schumer’s Dream: A Democratic Nightmare

Montana Senate Moves to Lean Republican

Montana Senate: A Real Race or Simply Manufactured Buzz?

‘Simple’ Doesn’t Equal ‘Easy’ in N.H. Senate Race

GOP Can’t Catch a Break in Congressional Baseball Recruitment

‘Would You Rather?’ House Race Edition

Imperfect People Get Elected to the Senate

Could Upbeat Economic News Help Obama, Democrats?

House Report Shorts (July 8, 2014)

Why Democrats and Republicans Can’t Be Friends

How Parties Communicate Without Coordinating

Why Is the Media Ignoring Hillary Clinton?

Senate Long Shots Find Success Down the Ballot

Beware ‘Anti-Incumbent’ Election Hysteria

In Campaign Ads, ‘Week One’ Is Still Months Away

Mark Pryor: Still This Cycle’s Most Vulnerable Senator

Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016: Is It Even a Rumor?

Obama’s New Nuance on His Student Loans

Why Do We Suddenly Care About Races for Lt. Governor?

Thad Cochran’s Mississippi

Can an Endorsement Hurt the Endorsed Candidate?

The Long Lost Tale of Phil Maloof

Ben Sasse, Mystery Man

Democrats Wield Abortion Rights as Campaign Weapon in Primaries, Too

The New World of Election Coverage and Analysis: A Case Study

The Most Influential Losing Congressional Candidate in the Country

Why This Year’s Primaries Won’t End GOP Civil War

And the Winner of the GOP’s Civil War Primary Is …

Beware of the Surprise House Primary Losers

How to Ruin Your Interview With Stu Rothenberg

Warning: Senate Races Aren’t as Close as They Appear

When Birth Certificates and Senate Races Clash

Rating New York’s 11th District and One of My Worst Mistakes as a Political Handicapper

Charleston Gazette Endorsements Need a Little Perspective

Obama’s Foreign Policy Impacts 2014 Elections — Really

Sebelius to the Senate? Maybe in the Land of Oz, But Not in Kansas

How to Handicap a Campaign’s Ground Game in 2014

Democratic Senate Prospects and the New Black Voter

Meet 3 Divergent House Candidates Worth Watching

GOP Congressman Skips Incumbent Label on California Ballot

Why Republicans Have Trouble Electing Women to Congress

Mississippi Senator Thad Cochran, Underdog?

Rogers’ Retirement Makes Michigan 8 More Competitive

Democrats’ Growing Problems With Independent Voters on the Senate Map

Memo to Democrats: Running Toward Barack Obama Might Work

Another Cycle, Another Poll Memo About Florida’s 2nd District

Why Polls Still Show Democrats With Higher Marks Than Republicans

Why Florida’s 13th District Special Election Is Still a Tossup

Bill Clinton’s Real Impact on the Kentucky Senate Race

Why Republican Candidates Will Run From .GOP Address

Democrats Have Primaries, Too

Why Ken Buck Has the Inside Track in Colorado’s 4th District

There’s No Good Time for the GOP on Immigration

Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway

How Jamestown Associates Adapted and Prospered

Please Don’t Call It an Exodus From Congress

DCCC Is 2013 Fundraising Winner, but DNC Drops the Ball

How Candidates Share Without Coordinating With Outside Groups

North Carolina 2: Clay Aiken In, Seat Still Safe GOP for Now

For Democrats, It’s All About (Years) After November

Income Inequality: Democrats Have Some Work to Do

2 Seats, 1 State, Zero Opportunities

You Can’t Make This Stuff Up — and It’s Only January

The Real Reasons Recruits Don’t Run

To Special-Election Victors, a Short Stay in Congress

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

The Race Democrats Can’t Afford to Lose

Pay No Attention to That Title of Speaker in Front of My Name

Oldest and Youngest Congressional Candidates of the Cycle

Early TV Ads: Not New and Mostly a Waste of Money

Gerlach to Retire, Pennsylvania’s 6th Moves from Safe to Lean Republican

All GOP Primaries Are Not Created Equal

Republicans and Democrats Exchange Gifts this Holiday Season

What the Latest Iowa Poll Reveals About 2016 (Hint: Not Much)

How the Calendar Could Influence GOP Senate Primaries

Is Arkansas Really the Land of Opportunity for Democrats?

One Reason Donald Trump Should Be President

Louisiana Ad Could Preview 2014 Democratic Playbook

Awards for the Best and Worst of Politics in 2013

What Happened to the Campaign for Primary Accountability?

The $4 Billion Campaign Against John Cornyn

House Democrats’ Not-So-Secret Weapon for 2014: Cash

A Traditional Midterm Headache for Democrats

If Linda Lingle Could, Why Can’t Wendy Davis?

Open Your Mind to the Possibility of Another Midterm Mess for Democrats

Republicans at Risk of Losing West Virginia’s 2nd District

The Most Divided House District in New York

23 of 25 Vulnerable Democrats Vote in Favor of Upton Bill

A Critical Few Weeks for Democrats? It Could Get Worse

Why Most Postmortems of Virginia’s Gubernatorial Race Are Wrong

For Some Candidates, Home Is Where the Opportunity Is

Victory Is in the Eye of the Beholder in New Jersey, Virginia and Alabama

New Jersey’s 3rd District Now Open, Now a Tossup

Two House Candidates Who Stumbled Over Simple Questions

In Louisiana, Democrats Doth Protest Too Much

6 Democratic House Candidates With Plenty of Potential

‘The Political Middle Has Disappeared’

The Most Important Election of 2014

Democrats Look for Mini-Wave in Arkansas in 2014

From Family Tragedy to Congress Is a Difficult Trail

For GOP, the Damage Is Undeniable

Is Ted Cruz Causing a Democratic Wave?

Florida 13: Young’s Retirement Creates More Competitive Contest

Shutdown Fever: Is the House in Play Now?

Marriage Equality and New York’s 19th District

Republican Senate Hopefuls Vary in Quality, Approach

Tennant Not a Game Changer Yet for West Virginia Democrats

OMG!!! A GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN. Or Maybe Not

5 Things Winning Candidates Say

Republicans Win Belated Legal Battles, but Elections Can’t Be Undone

How Bad Is the GOP Rift? Worse Than Democrats in the 1980s

Family Politics: When Water Is Thicker Than Blood

House Strategists Continue Search for 2014 Candidates

Democrats Ready to Land Recruit in Elusive California District

Is South Carolina’s Nikki Haley in Trouble?

Is Dan Benishek Waffling on Term Limits?

And for John Kasich’s Next Act in Politics …

Barack Obama’s Sad Sausage-Making Foreign Policy

Florida’s 2nd District: When You Don’t Need to Poll

The Biggest Mistake of Obama’s Presidency?

3 Local Races That Could Affect the Fight for the House

Are There Really Fewer Competitive House Districts Than Ever Before?

Obama’s Muddled Syria Politics

10 Things Losing Candidates Say

3 Key Factors Each Party Is Banking On for a Senate Majority

A Final Comment on Twitter and Election Forecasting

Twitter Can’t Yet Predict Elections

No, Really: It’s Still Too Early to Judge Senate Races

Republicans Can’t Win on August Recess

Ohio’s 6th District Moves from Safe to GOP Favored

Incumbent Primary Challengers: Some Promising, Others Premature

When 94 Percent Isn’t Pure Enough for Conservative Republicans

Georgia Senate: Maybe, Potentially, Possibly … but Not Yet

Former GOP House Candidate Marries Gay Partner

As Portland (Maine) Goes, So Goes … the Nation?

Want to Run for Congress? Prepare to Ask People for Money 8 Hours a Day

Israel Vs. Walden Showdown on ‘The Daily Rundown’

Montana Senate Rating: Move or Reaffirm?

Despite Primary, Rounds Remains Favorite in South Dakota

Gay Couples Could Face Different Campaign Money Rules Across States

Rating Alison Lundergan Grimes’ Chances in Kentucky

Texas Governor: Rick Perry Out, but …

Democrats Rally Against Bill Clinton’s Record

It’s Uphill All the Way for Social Conservatives

Gomez-Sanford Comparison on Obamacare Fails the Smell Test

Twitter: Smart Strategy or Electronic Press Release?

Is the Senate More Volatile Than the House in 2014?

The War on Women vs. The War on Children

I Would Fly 5,000 Miles Just to Help You Get Elected

A Good Test of Exactly How Screwed Up Washington Is

It’s Never Too Early to Fight About Polling Methodology

Why We Never Moved the Massachusetts Senate Race to Toss-Up

Search for Competitive House Open Seats Comes Up Empty

Why Emasculating the Speaker Is Rarely a Good Idea

The Barn Jacket as a Secret Campaign Weapon

Search for Anti-Mike Rounds Continues in South Dakota

When the Nation Has the Blahs …

Brad Pitt and Minnesota’s 8th District

Where Will the Millionaire Cattle Rancher Run in Nebraska?

What is a Pollster’s Obligation to a Campaign?

Should Republicans Recruit a Candidate Against Their Own Incumbent?

Two Democratic House Challengers Worth Watching

New Jersey Senate Remains Safe for Democrats in Long Term

Ratings Change: Rhode Island Governor

The Bachmann District: When a Retirement Changes Everything

Are Republicans Completely on Board With Gabriel Gomez?

Nebraska Senate: Osborn Likely to Announce Candidacy Soon

Friendly Fire: Parties Slam Some of Their Own

Todd Akin, Virginia Style?

In Massachusetts Senate PPP Poll, Read the Numbers — Not the Memo

Obama’s New Political Reality Is Bad News for Dems in 2014

A Party Still in Denial?

Alaska Senate Poll: Far, Far Less Than Meets the Eye

Ranking Potential Flips for 2014 House Rematches

South Carolina 1 Special a Photo Finish?

History Lessons and the 2014 Midterms

South Carolina 1: Parties Prepare to Spin Colbert Busch Win

Don’t Write Off Massachusetts Senate Race Just Yet

Pennsylvania 13: Daylin Leach- Liberal but Not Angry

South Carolina 1: GOP Throwing Another Race Away, Mark Sanford Style

The He Said, She Said of Gun Control: Get Over It

Putting First-Quarter Senate Fundraising Into Perspective

Landrieu’s Gun Vote: A Possible Political Explanation

How Will Divided Attention Affect Obama, Congress?

Steve King’s Cash Raises Eyebrows, Doubts About Senate Bid

Bob Perry: Present at the Creation of a Political Movement

The Most Vulnerable House Incumbent(s) of 2014

Cook’s Partisan Voting Index and the Decline of the Swing District

Five Takeaways From the New NBC/WSJ Poll

Scott Brown’s Potentially Silly Adventure

Pennsylvania Governor: Can Allyson Schwartz Make It to Harrisburg?

Most Vulnerable Senator of ‘14? Pryor by a Hair

Why Isn’t Maine’s Susan Collins Vulnerable?

Why Scott Brown Running in N.H. Is a Really, Really Bad Idea

New Jobs Numbers Raise Economic — and Political — Questions

South Carolina 1st District Poll: It’s All About Context

What State Political Trends Portend for the 2014 Midterms

Not All State Offices Are Political Launching Pads

In Kentucky, All Eyes on Grimes to Face McConnell

The Fat Lady Sings on Gun Control, 2013 Edition