Analysis

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2014 Senate Overview (December 18, 2013) Kentucky – New Mexico

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2014 Senate Overview (December 18, 2013) North Carolina – Wyoming

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Is Arkansas Really the Land of Opportunity for Democrats?

When we think of political battlegrounds, states like Ohio and Florida come to mind. But every so often, a small state becomes a partisan political battleground. This cycle, that’s Arkansas — about as unlikely a state as you might imagine. While Democrats see Arkansas as a place to mount a counterattack after a series of […]

Louisiana Ad Could Preview 2014 Democratic Playbook

A new television ad by a Democratic-aligned super PAC in Louisiana is more than an early attack ad in an important Senate race. It’s an important sneak peek into what Democratic ads could look like in races all over the country next year. First reported by Roll Call, Senate Majority PAC’s first ad in the […]

Awards for the Best and Worst of Politics in 2013

Yes, folks, it’s time again for my end-of-the-year awards. It’s been a weird year, but face it: Weird is the new normal in politics. Eight weeks ago, everyone was talking about the shutdown. A month ago, it was the launch of Obamacare. Now it’s, well, I’m not sure. In early October, it looked as if […]

The $4 Billion Campaign Against John Cornyn

Democrat David Alameel announced recently his challenge to Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, and the wealthy dentist said money won’t be a problem. I’m not so sure. “I’ll just do whatever it takes,” he told the Dallas Morning News. “Money is not an issue for me.” The source of Alameel’s confidence is unclear. There are expensive […]

House Democrats’ Not-So-Secret Weapon for 2014: Cash

House Democrats are stockpiling cash, and some GOP strategists have expressed concern that Democrats could use their financial advantage to expand the playing field. Through October, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee raised $65 million and had $25 million in the bank for the 2014 cycle. The National Republican Congressional Committee raised $52 million during that […]

A Traditional Midterm Headache for Democrats

Democrats have had a nice run recently of interesting House recruits and new takeover opportunities resulting from open GOP seats. And yet, it probably won’t matter. If history is any guide — and it usually is — the president’s recent problems have already overshadowed that good news for House Democrats and the Democratic Congressional Campaign […]

Open Your Mind to the Possibility of Another Midterm Mess for Democrats

Democrats might want to consider opening their minds to the potential of another midterm nightmare. I remember dozens of conversations with GOP candidates and strategists prior to the 2012 elections. Republicans simply couldn’t wrap their minds around the possibility that 2008 could ever be repeated. That failure in comprehension contributed to inaccurate polling and wrong […]

A Critical Few Weeks for Democrats? It Could Get Worse

No wonder some Democratic strategists are nervous about the next few weeks. President Barack Obama’s job approval numbers have taken a dive in two recent polls, and party insiders fear that every other poll released in the foreseeable future will show that the rollout of the president’s health care law has been anything but a […]