Analysis

1217 Results

In Campaign Ads, ‘Week One’ Is Still Months Away

It can feel like the 2014 congressional races have been going on forever, so when a campaign strategist talks about “Week One,” it can be confusing that Week One is still actually four months away. Obtaining and understanding television ad buys is becoming an increasingly important part of analyzing House and Senate races. And deciphering […]

Mark Pryor: Still This Cycle’s Most Vulnerable Senator

More than a year ago, I called Sen. Mark Pryor, D-Ark., this cycle’s most vulnerable senator. That hasn’t changed. The longer I do this, the more transparent I try to be about my thinking about each race. So, this column sets out my view of the Arkansas Senate race, which has been different from the […]

Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016: Is It Even a Rumor?

The Michelle Obama for Senate in 2016 stories are classic examples of an out-of-control media narrative that is based on little hard evidence. But it may also end up being a lesson on why it’s best not to dismiss rampant speculation. The rumor that the first lady could run for the Senate in Illinois next […]

Senate Majority Still Hangs in the Balance

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2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) Alabama – Kansas

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2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico

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2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming

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Why Do We Suddenly Care About Races for Lt. Governor?

The office of lieutenant governor is so important that five states don’t even have one, yet that hasn’t stopped the national political media from treating some contests for the office as crucial indicators of something. In the recent primary runoff in Texas, anti-establishment conservative state Sen. Dan Patrick unseated incumbent Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst by […]

Thad Cochran’s Mississippi

CLEVELAND, Miss. — The rain pounded the Mississippi Delta for the better part of three days late last week, but the nasty weather and a hard-fought primary contest didn’t stop Sen. Thad Cochran from attending the Delta Council’s annual event on May 30 on the Delta State University campus. The council is an economic development […]

Oregon Senate: National Republicans Get Their Nominee for Potential Race

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