Analysis

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Fundraising is a critical part of winning reelection, but sometimes incumbents have political problems that money can’t fix.  When voter sentiment is against you, outspending your opponent isn’t sufficient to survive an electoral wave. This is important context when analyzing campaign fundraising reports. While there can be confusion over what constitutes a wave election, 2010 certainly qualifies. Republicans…

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Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Ryan Faircloth of the Star Tribune analyze the impact of the surge of ICE agents and border patrol and two fatal shootings in the Twin Cities on key Minnesota races for governor, Senate and the House and talk about how previous political assassinations in the state and recent attack on Rep. Ilhan Omar…

It’s been 20 years since one party flipped both the House and the Senate in the same cycle, but that’s exactly what Democrats are hoping to do in 2026.  While Democrats can win the House majority by winning Democratic-leaning and toss-up areas, the party must also win Republican areas in order to capture the Senate. With a combina/shartion…

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