Analysis

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NY Senate: Pardon Me While I Yawn

Once again, the New York Senate race is receiving more attention than it deserves. The decision by Kathleen Troia McFarland (R) to jump into the Republican Senate race has some GOP insiders smiling, and cable television news hosts jumping for joy. Republicans hope that McFarland can make Clinton spend money running for reelection. And they’d like to see…

The 2008 Race Is on — and the Field Is Smaller Than You Think

If you turned on C-SPAN last Sunday evening, you may have noticed that the network’s “Road to the White House 2008” was broadcasting a Feb. 20 speech by Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) to the Spartanburg County (S.C.) Republican Party. Huckabee is mentioned as a possible contender for the GOP nomination, so it’s fitting that C-SPAN covers him…

New Print Edition: 2006 Gubernatorial Outlook

The new March 10, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) 2006 Gubernatorial OutlookThe mood nationally is shifting toward change, and Republicans are playing defense in governorships this cycle, along with their majorities in the U.S. Senate and U.S. House. The GOP comes into the year…

The Other Guy Named Brown Now Has Problems, Too

Apparently, there is something about being named Brown. In Ohio, the decision by Rep. Sherrod Brown (D) to enter the U.S. Senate race after first turning down pleas to run has divided Democrats. Party insiders rallied behind Brown, forcing Iraq war veteran Paul Hackett out of the contest, even though those same insiders had initially begged Hackett to…

In a Change Environment, More Bad News for GOP

If voters are looking for a change this November, the fallout for Republicans could spread beyond the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House. Republicans are defending a number of governorships this cycle in states they have controlled for a number of years. Voters at the state level have generally shown more of a willingness to switch parties for…

Be Careful What You Wish For

Rhode Island Secretary of State Matt Brown (D) has been desperate for media attention. An underdog in the Democratic Senate race for the right to face either Senator Lincoln Chafee (R) or Cranston Mayor Steve Laffey (R) in November, Brown spent heavily on early advertising to boost his name identification and reputation. Well, the self-described outsider and reformer…

Rothenberg Touts His Favorite Candidates So Far

I certainly haven’t yet seen all of this cycle’s allegedly strong House candidates, but the beginning of March seems like a good time to list my favorite candidates so far, including both challengers and seekers of open seats but excluding candidates from the previous cycle who are running again. The group that follows is not presented in any…

Is the Public’s Mood on Automatic Pilot Until the Fall?

It’s the end of February, still more than eight months before November’s midterm elections. That’s an eternity in politics, and it’s one reason why Republicans remain optimistic that they can turn public opinion more in their favor than it is now. But on issue after issue, public opinion seems to have solidified against President Bush, and there is…

Port Security Frenzy: Real Concern or Real Grandstanding?

While Democrats and Republicans vent their anger over the Bush Administration’s decision to allow a United Arab Emirates-based company from taking “control” of America’s east coast ports (from a British company), I have a question: Exactly what responsibility and authority does this UAE company have? Specifically, how is U.S. security weakened? I don’t know, and I bet 99.5%…

A Dumb Mistake May Cost Democrats

For months, Democratic insiders have been touting their candidate in Ohio’s 6th District, state Senator Charlie Wilson. They’ve been arguing that the socially conservative Democrat fits the district perfectly, and that he will easily hold retiring Congressman Ted Strickland’s open House seat in Southeastern Ohio. But Wilson and his campaign team apparently have trouble with both arithmetic and…

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