Newt Gingrich is running for president. Well, sort of running. He’ll run if it looks like he has a chance to win. But he won’t really start running — if he runs at all — until later next year. But in the meantime, he is doing what needs to get done in case he does decide to run.…
The recent news in Texas 22 doesn’t change the outlook for the seat in November…yet. With former House majority leader Tom DeLay (R-TX) on the ballot, the race would immediately move to at least a toss-up race, if not closer to Rep. Bob Ney (R-OH) in the lean takeover category. Ney is in all sorts of trouble, but…
School’s out for summer and families are headed for vacation, and the average American is more likely to contemplate the acceptable number of daily sunscreen applications rather than getting into the weeds of the immigration policy and stances of two congressional candidates. But even though people’s attention will be largely diverted away from politics in the next couple…
The new July 7, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) Handicapping the State Legislatures: A 50-State Status ReportBy Louis Jacobson Both Democrats and Republicans agree: Despite the possibility of a wave at the national level, the fight to control the state legislatures will boil down…
The last major national political wave, in 1994, didn’t sweep over all areas of the country with equal force. In some states, Congressional Democrats suffered minimal losses, while in others Democratic House seats fell in bunches. For Democrats to take the House this year, they may need one or two states to deliver a significant number of wins,…
Congressman Chris Cannon, Republican of Utah’s 3rd District, was staggered, but he didn’t go down for the count. Instead, it was businessman John Jacob, whose anti-immigration campaign was backed by Colorado GOP Congressman Tom Tancredo, who was knocked out by Republican primary voters on June 27. Cannon must be getting used to primary challenges. Two years ago, another…
As in chess, where a competitor decides what to do based on his or her opponent’s moves, Republican and Democratic primary voters and caucus attendees are likely to spend as much time in 2007 and early 2008 watching their opponents as thinking about their own choices. Since both parties are placing an unusually high priority on nominating candidates…
The new June 30, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) Maryland Senate: Race MattersBy Nathan L. Gonzales If national Republicans are looking at reliably Democratic Maryland for one of their best Senate takeover opportunities, you can bet that the national landscape is pretty sparse. But…
I’m just now recovering from the most recent frenzy about a possible Al Gore presidential bid in 2008, and I’m hopeful that we’ll still have another few months before we get our next “Is Al Gore changing his mind and running for president in 2008?” boomlet. But another round of Gore presidential speculation is about as likely as…
National Democratic insiders aren’t pulling many punches when it comes to Sen. Joe Lieberman’s (D-CT) primary in Connecticut against businessman Ned Lamont. They are saying that Lieberman could lose. The senator is having considerable problems with older white men, and his allies are counting on strong support in the minority community and from women to squeeze out a…